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Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, February 2000, p. 278-282, Vol. 44, No. 2
0066-4804/00/$04.00+0
Copyright © 2000, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
A Population Pharmacokinetic Model for Vancomycin in Pediatric
Patients and Its Predictive Value in a Naive Population
Patrice
Lamarre,1,2
Denis
Lebel,2 and
Murray P.
Ducharme1,*
Faculté de Pharmacie, Université
de Montréal,1 and
Département de Pharmacie, Hôpital
Ste-Justine,2 Montréal, Canada
Received 9 April 1999/Returned for modification 21 July
1999/Accepted 1 November 1999
 |
ABSTRACT |
The objectives of this study were to (i) construct a population
pharmacokinetic (PK) model able to describe vancomycin (VAN) concentrations in serum in pediatric patients, (ii) determine VAN PK
parameters in this population, and (iii) validate the predictive ability of this model in a naive pediatric population. Data used in
this study were obtained from 78 pediatric patients (under 18 years
old). PK analyses were performed using compartmental methods. The most
appropriate model was chosen based on the evaluation of pertinent
graphics and calculation of the Akaike information criterion test. The
population PK analysis was performed using an iterative two-stage
method. A two-compartment PK model using age, sex, weight, and serum
creatinine as covariates was determined to be the most appropriate one
to describe serum VAN concentrations. The quality of fit was very good,
and the distribution of weighted residuals was found to be
homoscedastic (Wilcoxon signed rank test). Fitted population PK
parameters (mean ± standard deviation) were as follows: central
clearance (0.1 ± 0.05 liter/h/kg), central volume of
distribution (0.27 ± 0.07 liter/kg), peripheral volume of
distribution (0.16 ± 0.07 liter/kg), and distributional
clearance (0.16 ± 0.07 liter/kg). The predictive ability of the
developed model (including the above-mentioned covariates) was
evaluated in a naive population of 19 pediatric patients. The
predictability was very good. Precision (±95% confidence interval
[CI]) (peak, 4.1 [±1.4], and trough, 2.2 [±0.7]) and bias
(±95% CI) (peak,
0.58 [±2.2], and trough, 0.63 [±1.1]
mg/liter) were significantly (P < 0.05)
superior to those obtained using a conventional method (precision [±95% CI]: peak, 8.03 [±2.46], and trough, 2.7 [±0.74]; bias: peak,
7.1 [±2.9], and trough,
1.35
[±1.2] mg/liter). We propose the use of this population PK model to
optimize VAN clinical therapies in our institution and others with
similar patient population characteristics.
 |
INTRODUCTION |
There has been a major increase in
the clinical use of vancomycin (VAN) in the last 20 years. This may be
partly due to the increased and prolonged use of intravenous lines
(Hickman catheters, etc.) and to the development of aggressive
immunosuppressive therapies. This increase in the utilization of VAN
may be responsible for the clinical emergence of enterococcal
(3) and staphylococcal (8) strains resistant to
this drug (1). It is therefore crucial for clinicians to use
this antibiotic in a more rational manner.
Monitoring serum VAN concentrations is still a subject of controversy.
Administration of doses to pediatric patients that are based only on
body weight have frequently been associated with inappropriate
concentrations (10, 14). Some authors have therefore
suggested utilizing demographic data (such as age, sex, and height) as
well as the patient's estimated renal function in order to attain
desired concentrations in serum in the majority of their treated
patients (2).
Little is known about the pharmacokinetics (PK) of VAN in children and
adolescents. In fact, only one detailed PK study involving 18 patients
in that age group has been published (16). We propose to
improve the PK knowledge of VAN in pediatric patients. The objectives
of this study are (i) to construct a population PK model able to
describe serum VAN concentrations, (ii) to determine VAN PK parameters
in a pediatric population, and (iii) to validate the predictive ability
of this PK model in a naive pediatric population, using Bayesian
adaptive control.
 |
MATERIALS AND METHODS |
We used, retrospectively, a data bank consisting of 98 patients
who received VAN therapy. This bank was compiled by the clinical pharmacists of our center, between January 1994 and July 1996. Patients
with at least one available serum creatinine value and one set of peak
and trough VAN serum concentrations were included in the study (78 out
of 98 patients). Age, weight, sex, and serum creatinine data were
available for each subject and are summarized in Table
1. Data collected concerning VAN therapy
included the dose given during the 1-h infusion, the therapeutic
interval, and the results of the measured peaks and troughs. During the creation of each patient's PK data files, the troughs were assumed to
be drawn 15 min before the fourth infusion of VAN and the peak concentrations occurred 1 h after. These are the standard times at
which these levels are drawn at Hôpital St-Justine,
Montréal, Canada. Every patient had at least one set of a
measured peak and trough available. In total, the data bank included
256 VAN serum concentrations.
Analytical assay.
VAN serum concentrations were determined
using a validated fluorescence polarization immunoassay (TDx; Abbott
Diagnostics, Chicago, Ill.). Interday and intraday coefficients of
variation of the analytical method were less than 5%, and the limit of
detection was 2 mg/liter.
Statistics.
Statistical analyses were performed using SYSTAT
Version 8 for Windows (SPSS Inc., 1998) and Lotus 1-2-3 Release 9 for
windows (Lotus Development Corporation, 1998) when appropriate.
Statistical significance was set a priori at P < 0.05.
PK analyses.
PK analyses were performed using compartmental
methods (7). Several models were investigated during the
model discrimination process, and the most appropriate one was chosen
based on the law of parsimony (simplest model), the value of the Akaike
information criterion test, and upon inspection of important graphics
(weighted residuals versus observed concentrations and fitted and
observed VAN concentrations versus time). A classical linear
two-compartment model using body weight and creatinine clearance as
covariates was chosen for this population analysis. The graphic
representation of the model is presented in Fig.
1. The differential equations describing
this model are
where
R(1) represents the infusion rate of VAN
(milligrams per hour) and Vc and Vp are the volumes of distribution of
the
central and the peripheral compartments, respectively (liters),
while CLc and CLd are the central and distributional clearances,
respectively (liters per hour). Creatinine clearance was used
as a
covariate of central clearance in the following equation:
where
A and
B are the slope and intercept
of the relationship between creatinine clearance (CCL) and CLc,
respectively. CCL
was calculated for each patient using an equation
converting creatinine
clearance values obtained from the Schwartz
formula (CLCreatSW
in liters per hour adjusted to 1.73 m
2)
(
13) to a value in liters per hour:
where BSA represents the value of the body surface area for each
patient calculated with the following equation (
4):
The actual body weight (BW) is expressed in kilograms. The
volumes of distribution of VAN (Vc and Vp) were modeled using
body
weight (BW) as a surrogate marker.

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FIG. 1.
Final population PK model. Vc, volume of the central
compartment; Vp, volume of the peripheral compartment; A, slope of the
relationship between VAN central clearance and creatinine clearance
(CCL); B, intercept of the relationship between VAN central clearance
and creatinine clearance; Cld, distributional clearance.
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|
Population analysis.
Initial values for PK parameters were
obtained using maximum likelihood analysis with ADAPT-II (D. Z. D'Argenio and A. Schumitzky, 1997, ADAPT-II user's guide). These were
used as prior values for the population PK analysis which was performed
using an iterative two-stage method (D. Collins and A. Forest,
1995, IT2S user's guide). Parameters were fitted to 30 kg
(i.e., liters per 30 kg and liters per hour per 30 kg), which was
the average population body weight. Observed VAN
concentrations were fitted using a weighting factor of
Wi = 1/Si2 where the variance
Si2 was calculated for each observation using the following
equation:
In this equation,
a,
Y(1), and
b are the residual variability, the observed VAN
concentrations, and standard deviation related
to the limit of
detection of the analytical assay, respectively.
These parameters were
first estimated using maximum likelihood
(ADAPT-II) and were updated
iteratively during the population
analysis until they were estimated
with robustness (VARUP, iterative
two-stage
method).
Validation of the PK model.
The final population PK model
was validated using a naive pediatric population from our institution.
Patients in this population were not part of the first data bank and
were chosen prospectively in a random manner among patients receiving
VAN therapies. In order to be included in this population, a minimum of
four serum VAN concentrations (two peaks and two troughs) was needed
per patient in addition to a serum creatinine value. Nineteen patients were included in this new population.
The predictive ability of the population PK model was evaluated in
terms of bias and precision using the method proposed by
Sheiner and
Beal (
15). The predictive value of the model was
first
evaluated when it was used only as a nomogram, before any
VAN serum
concentrations were available. The PK model was then
reevaluated using
collected serum VAN concentrations (first set
of peak and trough) and
fitting them with the maximum a posteriori
probability algorithm of
ADAPT-II using the population mean PK
parameters and the full
covariance matrix. Bias and precision
of the PK model were then
compared, with or without this a priori
information, with results
obtained using our hospital conventional
nomogram. This latter method
consisted in giving standard doses
of VAN (10 mg/kg of body weight per
dose at a 6-h interval) (
16),
in order to reach targeted
peaks and troughs of 25 and 7.5 mg/liter,
respectively.
 |
RESULTS |
During the PK model discrimination process, body weights and
patient creatinine clearances were found to be important covariates explaining the observed concentrations of VAN in serum. Their inclusion
in the model reduced significantly the interindividual variability of
the PK parameters and the residual variability observed in VAN serum
concentrations. This latter, which includes the intraindividual
variability and all experimental errors, decreased from an initial
value of 25% to 6.5%. A value of 25% would not have permitted
accurate prediction of VAN serum concentrations in a naive population,
because each concentration would then have been associated with a
normal error or variability of 25%. Average VAN population PK
parameters in the pediatric population of 78 patients are presented in
Table 2, along with their associated interindividual variability. Average mean calculated PK parameters and
their associated interindividual variability are presented in Table
3.
Observed VAN serum concentrations were explained very well by the
proposed population PK model. The absence of systematic bias in the
model was verified using the Wilcoxon signed rank test. Weighted
residuals versus observed VAN serum concentrations are presented in
Fig. 2. A homoscedastic distribution of
the weighted residuals is evident, confirming the absence of bias.
Observed and fitted VAN concentrations for a representative patient are presented in Fig. 3.

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FIG. 3.
Fitted (line) and observed (solid circle) VAN serum
concentrations in a representative patient.
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|
Bias and precision estimates for the population PK model with or
without using VAN concentrations are presented in Table
4. These results are compared with those
obtained using the conventional nomogram of our institution.
Relationships between the observed and predicted VAN concentrations for
the naive population are presented in Fig.
4 and 5.
The quality of the prediction using the model without Bayesian adaptive
control is depicted in Fig. 4, while results derived using prior
concentrations with Bayesian adaptive control are presented in Fig. 5.
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TABLE 4.
Precision and bias (±95% confidence interval) of the
population PK model compared with those obtained using the nomogram
previously used in our institutiona
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FIG. 4.
Relationship between observed and model-predicted VAN
serum concentrations using demographic data only.
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FIG. 5.
Relationship between observed and model-predicted VAN
serum concentrations using demographic data and the results of a
previous peak and trough.
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 |
DISCUSSION |
A two-compartment PK model was found to be the most appropriate
one to describe serum VAN concentrations during the model discrimination process. Likewise, others have found that the PK of VAN
is better described by a two- instead of a one-compartment PK model
(6, 9, 11). Body weights and creatinine clearances used as
covariates in the model allowed significant reduction of the
interindividual and residual variability. The latter includes the
patient's intraindividual variability and the total experimental errors that may be generated clinically (i.e., dosage, timing of
samples, and analytical variability). The population PK model that we
are proposing is associated with an interestingly low residual
variability of 6.5% for serum VAN concentrations.
There is little information available regarding VAN PK parameters in
children and adolescents. We found only one detailed study reported in
the literature, and its results were derived from 18 children. This
prior study reported an apparent volume of distribution for VAN ranging
between 0.538 and 0.818 liter/kg, while VAN central clearance varied
between 7.86 and 9.78 liters/h (12). These values are in
agreement with our results, where the average population values for the
volume of distribution and total clearance of VAN are 0.43 and 0.103 liter/h/kg, respectively. Our results were, however, determined using a
more robust population PK method, and our proposed model was validated
in a naive population of 19 patients.
The very good predictive ability of our proposed VAN population PK
model makes it an interesting tool to use clinically to optimize VAN
therapies. Bias and precision were significantly superior (P < 0.05) to those of the previously used method of our
institution. The average precision for peak concentrations decreased
from 11.2 to 4.1 mg/liter. Based on an average peak of 30 mg/liter,
this translates into an average error of 40% compared to just 14%
when the population PK model is used. Standard dosages of VAN for
pediatric patients have already been shown to systematically underdose
patients (14). This may have serious consequences since the
time until eradication of infection and the duration of hospitalization
may both be prolonged, two situations associated with emergence of drug
resistance (5). Predicting VAN serum concentrations with
more accuracy may enable clinicians to optimize treatment of their
infected patients while minimizing the number of samples to be drawn.
This would need to be verified in another study. The importance of
keeping blood drawings to a minimum in pediatric patients cannot be
overemphasized, since they affect the patient's quality of life and
the overall cost of therapy. One interesting finding of this study is
that the predictive value of the population PK model was not
significantly different with the addition of previously observed VAN
serum concentrations. This may indicate that the proposed PK model is
well adapted to our pediatric population, but other factors may explain
this phenomenon.
In conclusion, we have developed a population PK model for VAN in
pediatric patients. PK parameters have been described, and the
population PK model was validated in a naive population. The predictive
ability of this model was significantly (P < 0.05) superior to that of the conventional method previously used in our
institution. We propose the use of this population PK model to optimize
VAN clinical therapies in our institution and others with similar
patient population characteristics.
 |
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
We are grateful to the clinical pharmacists of l'Hôpital
Ste-Justine de Montréal for their help in collecting the main
elements of the first patient population data bank.
 |
FOOTNOTES |
*
Corresponding author. Mailing address: Pharmacokinetics
and Pharmacodynamics, Phoenix International Life Sciences, 2350 Cohen St., St-Laurent, Quebec, Canada H4R 2N6. Phone: (514) 333-0042, ext.
4520. Fax: (514) 333-7666. E-mail: ducharmu{at}pils.com.
 |
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Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, February 2000, p. 278-282, Vol. 44, No. 2
0066-4804/00/$04.00+0
Copyright © 2000, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.