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Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, December 2001, p. 3468-3473, Vol. 45, No. 12
0066-4804/01/$04.00+0 DOI: 10.1128/AAC.45.12.3468-3473.2001
Copyright © 2001, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
Population Pharmacokinetics and Use of Monte Carlo
Simulation To Evaluate Currently Recommended Dosing Regimens of
Ciprofloxacin in Adult Patients with Cystic Fibrosis
Megan J.
Montgomery,1
Paul M.
Beringer,1,*
Amir
Aminimanizani,1
Stan G.
Louie,1,2
Bertrand J.
Shapiro,2
Roger
Jelliffe,2 and
Mark A.
Gill1
School of Pharmacy1
and School of Medicine,2 University of
Southern California, Los Angeles, California
Received 30 March 2001/Returned for modification 15 July
2001/Accepted 20 September 2001
 |
ABSTRACT |
Pharmacodynamic data on ciprofloxacin indicate that a target area
under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h
(AUC0-24)/MIC ratio of
125 is necessary to achieve
optimal bactericidal activity for the treatment of gram-negative
pneumonia. The purpose of this prospective study was to (i) develop a
pharmacokinetic (PK) model to be utilized for therapeutic drug
monitoring (TDM) of ciprofloxacin and (ii) evaluate current
ciprofloxacin dosing regimens for pneumonias in cystic fibrosis (CF)
patients. Twelve adult CF patients received a single 400-mg dose of IV
ciprofloxacin. Six blood samples were obtained over a 12-h interval.
Serum drug concentrations were determined by high-pressure liquid
chromotography and were fitted to one- and two-compartment models by
using NPEM2. Ciprofloxacin MIC data for Pseudomonas
aeruginosa were obtained from 1,213 CF patients enrolled in a
large clinical trial. A Monte Carlo simulation was performed to
estimate the fractional attainment of an AUC0-24/MIC ratio
of
125. A two-compartment model best describes the serum drug
concentration data. The mean fitted PK parameter values are volume of
distribution in the central compartment, 0.29 liter/kg; volume of
distribution at steady state, 1.1 liters/kg; total clearance, 0.34 liter/h/kg; distributional clearance, 0.89 liter/h/kg; half-life at
phase, 0.16 h; and half-life at
phase, 2.9 h. The overall fractional attainment of achieving an AUC0-24/MIC ratio of
125 against P. aeruginosa isolates with ciprofloxacin
(400 mg every 12 h [q12h] and 8 qh) were 10 and 30%,
respectively. A clinical breakpoint MIC of <0.5 µg/ml for
susceptibility is suggested, based on an examination of the fractional
attainment of the AUC0-24/MIC target at each MIC. The
recommended doses of 400 mg q8h or q12h may be inadequate to treat an
acute pulmonary exacerbation when given alone. The poor and variable
AUC0-24/MIC ratios support the use of TDM to monitor and
adjust the dosage to optimize the efficacy of ciprofloxacin therapy in
these patients.
 |
INTRODUCTION |
Acute pulmonary exacerbations
requiring antibiotic and airway clearance therapy are the most frequent
complication of cystic fibrosis (CF). Acute exacerbations occur as a
result of a flare-up of the chronic infection within the lower airways.
In this scenario, the therapeutic goals include reduction of bacterial
density and improvement of pulmonary function and nutritional status
(16). Therefore, the primary therapeutic approach is
institution of antimicrobial therapy directed against the most commonly
encountered pathogens, including Pseudomonas aeruginosa,
Staphylococcus aureus, and Haemophilus
influenzae.
Ciprofloxacin is a second-generation fluoroquinolone with a broad
spectrum of activity. It possesses potent bactericidal activity against
P. aeruginosa isolates from CF patients (1,
18). In addition, ciprofloxacin has consistently demonstrated
synergistic activity with other antipseudomonal agents against
multiple-drug-resistant P. aeruginosa isolates obtained from
CF patients (18). With these attributes, it is not
surprising that ciprofloxacin is frequently prescribed for the
treatment of pulmonary exacerbations in CF patients.
The pharmacokinetics of ciprofloxacin have been extensively evaluated
in stable CF patients (4, 9, 11, 14, 17, 20, 23). Results
of these studies indicate no significant alterations in
pharmacokinetics when patients are compared with normal healthy
volunteers. In contrast, data on the pharmacokinetics of ciprofloxacin
during acute pulmonary exacerbations are limited (2, 21).
In addition, none of these studies performed compartmental pharmacokinetic analysis, which would permit dosage individualization for the patient. Studies performed in non-CF patients with nosocomially acquired lower respiratory tract infections demonstrated that optimal
clinical and bacteriological outcomes are associated with achievement
of specific threshold values of pharmacodynamic variables, such as the
area under the concentration time curve from 0 to 24 h
(AUC0-24)/MIC ratio and peak/MIC ratio (6,
15). Specifically, Forrest et al. demonstrated that optimal
clinical and bacteriological responses in non-CF patients with lower
respiratory tract infections are associated with the ability to achieve
an AUC0-24/MIC ratio of at least 125 (6).
The purpose of this prospective study was to (i) develop a
compartmental pharmacokinetic model to be utilized for therapeutic drug
monitoring (TDM) and dosage adjustment of ciprofloxacin in adult CF
patients and (ii) to evaluate the appropriateness of present
ciprofloxacin dosing regimens for pneumonias in CF patients by using
Monte Carlo simulation.
 |
MATERIALS AND METHODS |
Patients and samples.
Institutional review board approval
was obtained to conduct this study. Twelve adult CF patients admitted
for an acute pulmonary exacerbation were enrolled. Acute pulmonary
exacerbation was diagnosed when the following signs and symptoms were
present: an increase in cough and sputum production, significant weight
loss from baseline, and decreased exercise tolerance (3).
Inclusion criteria for this study were as follows: age of >18 years,
most recent sputum culture being positive for P. aeruginosa,
and admission for treatment of an acute pulmonary exacerbation.
Patients were excluded if they were pregnant, attempting to conceive,
or nursing an infant; had a history of seizure disorder or
hypersensitivity reaction to any quinolone; or were currently receiving
theophylline. Each patient received a single 400-mg dose of intravenous
ciprofloxacin, which was infused over 1 h, in addition to the
empiric antibiotic regimen prescribed for the acute pulmonary exacerbation.
Serial blood samples for determination of ciprofloxacin concentrations
were obtained from an indwelling venous cannula before the dose and at
the following times after the end of a 1-h infusion: 0 h and
between 0.25 and 0.5 h, at 1.5 h, between 2.5 and 3 h, between 7 and 8 h, and between 10 and 12 h. Exact times were
always noted. The catheter was flushed with 5 to 10 ml of 0.9% sodium chloride before and after each blood sample was collected in an evacuated tube. The first 3 ml of each blood sample was discarded. After sampling, the blood was allowed to clot on ice and directly centrifuged, and the serum was stored at
70°C in the freezer until analysis.
Analytic determination of ciprofloxacin concentrations.
The
samples were processed and assayed by high-performance liquid
chromatography by using methods derived from Nix et al. (13). The mobile phase consisted of ammonium phosphate
buffer and acetonitrile, 74/26 (vol/vol), pH 2.77. Elutants were
detected using fluorometric detection where excitation and emission
wavelengths were set at 276 and 440 nm, respectively. The mobile phase
flowed through an octadecylsilane column (C18, 5-µm
particle size, 4.5-mm diameter, and 250-mm length; Alltech and
Associates, Inc.) at a rate of 1 ml/min. The lower limit of detection
of this assay was 0.04 µg/ml. The intra- and interday coefficients of
variation for this assay ranged from 0.42 to 5.41% and 5.95 to
12.24%, respectively, with six standards from 0.04 to 4.0 µg/ml. The
assay error variance and standard deviation were modeled with zero
through second-order polynomials. The first-order polynomial equation
was used for the final model: assay standard deviation = 0.0159 + 0.0609 × concentration.
Susceptibility.
Susceptibility data utilized in this study
were based on data reported from a recent large clinical trial
(19). The study reported susceptibility data for 1,213 isolates of P. aeruginosa obtained from 495 CF patients
enrolled in clinical trials for evaluating the safety and efficacy of
tobramycin solution for inhalation (19). Each isolate was
tested against six agents, including ciprofloxacin. MICs were
determined by serial twofold broth microdilution using media and test
conditions in accordance with NCCLS recommended methodology
(12). The MIC range of ciprofloxacin used against P. aeruginosa isolates was
0.5 to >4 µg/ml.
Pharmacokinetics and Monte Carlo simulation.
USC*PACK
(version 11.2; Laboratory of Applied Pharmacokinetics, University of
Southern California School of Medicine, Los Angeles, California) was
used to perform the pharmacokinetic analysis. Serum ciprofloxacin
concentrations were fitted to one- and two-compartment models, using
the NPEM2 program. Model discrimination was performed based on Akaike
information criteria and an examination of log-likelihood values. Of
the 12 patients enrolled, one received ciprofloxacin as part of his
treatment regimen. For this individual, complete dosing histories and
times of administration were input to the PASTRX module of USC*PACK
to account for preexisting drug and were included in the
pharmacokinetic analysis. The concentrations were weighted according to
the inverse of the assay error variance, using the first-order
polynomial described above. The initial ranges for the pharmacokinetic
parameters utilized in the IT2B analysis (the front end of NPEM2) were
as follows: volume of distribution in the central compartment
(V1) (0.3312 to 1.0488), the elimination rate
constant (0.0423 to 0.6621), and the intercompartmental rate constants
(0.37766 to 1.1959 and 0.36192 to 1.7671, respectively). These initial
ranges were determined based on previously published pharmacokinetic
data (7). The Bayesian posterior density determined within
NPEM2 was utilized to estimate parameter values for each individual.
The total clearance (CLT), distributional clearance (CLD), volume of distribution at steady state
(Vss), and half-lives at
and
phases
(t1/2
and t1/2
)
were derived using standard methods (8).
Pharmacodynamic analysis was performed using Monte Carlo simulations
(5). This method accounts for the variability in
pharmacokinetic as well as MIC data to determine the probability of
reaching a target AUC0-24/MIC ratio. An
AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125 was set as the target based
on results from Forrest et al. (6). We also performed
additional simulations using target AUC0-24/MIC
ratios ranging from 75 to 175. The ADAPT II software was used for
population simulations of 1,000 subjects receiving ciprofloxacin. The
mean pharmacokinetic parameter values and the covariance matrix
estimated from the NPEM2 analysis were embedded within the Subroutine
Prior portion of ADAPT II. The parameter values were sampled from a
log-normal distribution. Three simulations were performed to generate
1,000 clearance values each for dosages of 400 mg every 12 h
(q12h), 400 mg q8h, and 600 mg q8h. Dividing the 24-h dose by the
individual clearance value enabled determination of AUC values for each
simulated patient.
Five additional simulations were performed in order to evaluate the
impact of various clearance values on the attainment of the target
AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125. A volume of distribution of 2.5 liters/kg and clearance values of 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, and 0.6 liter/kg/h were utilized in the simulations. All simulations were
performed in ADAPT II using a one-compartment model and coefficients of
variation of 33% for both parameters to compute AUC based on dose and
clearance data.
Statistical analysis.
The fraction of simulated subjects
achieving the target ciprofloxacin AUC0-24/MIC ratio of
125 was determined for each dose of ciprofloxacin (fractional target
attainment) at each MIC. The overall response for P. aeruginosa to ciprofloxacin for each dose was determined from the
sum of the products of the fractional distribution of MICs and the
fractional target attainment at each MIC as previously described
(5). For this study, a 90% probability of achieving an
AUC0-24/MIC ratio greater than 125 was considered to be
an acceptable clinical breakpoint. The response rates for additional target AUC0-24/MIC ratios (i.e., 75, 100, 125, 150, and 175) were also determined.
 |
RESULTS |
Patients.
Patient demographics are summarized in Table
1. All patients were treated with
antibiotics for an acute pulmonary exacerbation. The most commonly
prescribed antibiotic regimens consisted of either ceftazidime
(n = 5) or piperacillin-tazobactam (n = 6) in combination with tobramycin. Eleven patients received a
single 400-mg intravenous dose of ciprofloxacin for study purposes,
while one patient received ciprofloxacin as part of his treatment
regimen. The study patients had a mean age of 31 years and weight of
54.5 kg (86% of ideal weight for height). All patients had normal
renal function, as determined by estimation of creatinine clearance using the method described by Jelliffe and Jelliffe (10).
All patients' genotypes were known: two were
F508 homozygotes and six were
F508 heterozygotes, while four did not possess the
F508 mutation.
MIC distributions.
The relative and cumulative frequency
distributions are depicted in Fig. 1. The
MICs at which 50 and 90% of P. aeruginosa isolates tested
were inhibited by ciprofloxacin (MIC50 and
MIC90) are 1.0 and 4.0 µg/ml, respectively.

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FIG. 1.
Ciprofloxacin susceptibility against CF clinical
isolates of P. aeruginosa (n = 1,213).
Cumulative percentage ( ) of isolates at each MIC is given.
(MIC50 = 1.0; MIC90 = 4.0). Also
given is the relative percentage of isolates at each MIC
( ).
|
|
Pharmacokinetic analysis.
A two-compartment model best
describes the serum drug concentration data. The results of the
population pharmacokinetic analysis performed with measured serum
ciprofloxacin concentrations are summarized in Table
2. The volume of distribution and
CLT values are lower than previously described in patients
with CF. However, the elimination half-life is consistent with
previously reported values.
Using the median of the Bayesian posterior joint density of each
individual enabled creation of a plot of measured versus predicted
concentrations (Fig. 2). The
r2 value of this regression was 0.99, indicating
that the model provided an excellent fit to the data.

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FIG. 2.
Predicted versus observed serum ciprofloxacin
concentrations (n = 67). r2 = 0.99; P << 0.0001. The predicted concentrations were based
on the parameter medians for the distribution of individual patients.
|
|
Attainment of pharmacodynamic target.
The fraction of
simulated patients attaining an AUC0-24/MIC ratio of
125
for the three ciprofloxacin dosage regimens by MIC is shown in
Fig. 3. Only 15% of patients would be
expected to attain the target AUC0-24/MIC ratio at a MIC
of 0.5 µg/ml using a standard dose of 400 mg q12h. A dose of 400 mg
q8h increases the proportion achieving the target to 60%. However, a
dosage of 600 mg q8h would be required in order to attain the target AUC0-24/MIC ratio in excess of 90% of subjects at a MIC of 0.5 µg/ml. These data indicate that the clinical breakpoint for
ciprofloxacin against P. aeruginosa should be considered
<0.5 µg/ml, using routine clinical doses (i.e., 400 mg q12h and
q8h).

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FIG. 3.
Fractional attainment of AUC0-24/MIC ratio
of 125 at each MIC based on ciprofloxacin doses of 800, 1,200, and
1,800 mg/day (n = 1,000 simulations for each dose).
AUC24, AUC0-24.
|
|
The fractional attainment of the target AUC0-24/MIC ratio
as a function of specific AUC0-24/MIC ratios is depicted in Fig. 4. As expected, lower
AUC0-24/MIC targets yield greater percentage achievement
of the goal at each dose level. Routine clinical doses of 400 mg q12h
and 400 mg q8h would be expected to achieve the target
AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125 in approximately 10 and 30% of
patients, respectively.

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FIG. 4.
Percentage achievement of the pharmacodynamic goal
utilizing various AUC0-24/MIC target values. Simulations
were based on ciprofloxacin doses of 800, 1,200, and 1,800 mg/day
(n = 1,000 for each dose). AUC24,
AUC0-24.
|
|
The effect of various clearance values on the fractional attainment of
the target AUC0-24/MIC ratio is displayed in Fig.
5. Since AUC varies in inverse proportion
to clearance, it is not surprising that changes in clearance alter the
fractional attainment of the target AUC0-24/MIC.

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FIG. 5.
Percentage achievement of AUC0-24/MIC ratio
of 125 at various ciprofloxacin clearance values. Simulations were
based on ciprofloxacin doses of 800, 1,200, and 1,800 mg/day
(n = 1,000 for each clearance value).
AUC24, AUC0-24.
|
|
 |
DISCUSSION |
The primary purpose of the present study was to develop a
compartmental pharmacokinetic model to be used for intravenous
ciprofloxacin in adult CF patients. There are presently no published
studies involving intravenous ciprofloxacin in CF patients in which
compartmental pharmacokinetic analysis was performed (2, 4,
21). We found that a two-compartment model best described the
disposition of ciprofloxacin in our adult CF population. This is
similar to the results of Forrest et al., who evaluated the
pharmacokinetics of ciprofloxacin in acutely ill, non-CF patients
(7).
Interestingly, the pharmacokinetic description of intravenous
ciprofloxacin in this study differs from that found in previously published CF studies (2, 4, 21). For comparison purposes, the pharmacokinetic parameters from those studies, in addition to a
study looking at acutely ill, non-CF patients, are summarized in Table
3. Our subjects exhibited a lower
clearance and volume of distribution than did those in other studies.
The CLT is roughly half, in comparison to the clearances
obtained from CF patients in other studies (2, 4, 21).
Differences between study populations that may account for this
apparent discrepancy include age, degree of acute illness, and
differences in genotypes. Patients in this study are on average older
than the other study populations, with a mean age of 31 years, ranging
from 22 to 42 years. In contrast, Christensson et al. and Davis et al.
enrolled younger CF patients, ranging from 17 to 27 years old and 18 to
34 years old, respectively (2, 4). In another study, the
patient population had a mean age of 16.75 or 20.67 years, depending on
the intravenous dose administered (4). Since the patients
in the present study were older and had received multiple courses of
aminoglycosides, they could exhibit some changes in renal function,
which may contribute to the decreased ciprofloxacin clearance observed,
compared to the other CF studies.
The Vss of our population is somewhat smaller
than that previously reported. The V1 is similar
to that of the findings of Davis et al., which indicates that the
difference is a reflection of a smaller peripheral volume of
distribution. While there is no obvious explanation for this
difference, it may be a result of variations of CF disease. Patients
with different CF genotypes have various manifestations of the disease.
Our population differs from the classical northern European population,
which is comprised predominantly of individuals who are homozygous
F508. These individuals typically have pancreatic insufficiency and
significant pulmonary disease. In contrast, only two of our patients
were homozygous
F508. It is possible that patients with non-
F508
genotypes may exhibit ciprofloxacin pharmacokinetics that more closely
approximate those of their age-appropriate healthy counterparts.
Although specific genotypes were not reported in published literature
to allow for comparison, differences in genotypes might explain some of
the discrepancies in pharmacokinetic parameters noted in the present study.
Another possible explanation for the differences in the pharmacokinetic
parameters could be a result of an interaction between piperacillin and
ciprofloxacin. Both drugs are subject to tubular secretion, leading to
competition for active transport. Due to the higher molar concentration
of piperacillin, the renal clearance of ciprofloxacin is reduced to a
greater extent. Strenkoski-Nix et al. noted a 25% reduction in the
Vss and CLT of ciprofloxacin when
given in combination with piperacillin to a group of 12 healthy volunteers studied under controlled conditions (22). In
our study 6 of 12 patients received the combination of piperacillin and
ciprofloxacin. An examination of their pharmacokinetic parameters demonstrated no significant difference in Vss
between the patients receiving ciprofloxacin in combination with
piperacillin and those receiving ciprofloxacin alone (mean ± standard error of the mean: 1.1 ± 0.2 and 1.1 ± 0.2;
P = 0.94). In addition, no significant difference was
noted in clearance between the patients receiving ciprofloxacin in
combination with piperacillin and those receiving ciprofloxacin alone
(mean ± standard error of the mean: 0.31 ± 0.05 and 0.37 ± 0.05; P = 0.44). It does not appear, therefore, that
this interaction contributed significantly to the differences in
pharmacokinetic parameters noted in the present investigation.
The secondary objective of this study was to evaluate the probability
of achieving optimal pharmacodynamic activity of ciprofloxacin against
P. aeruginosa isolates for patients with CF receiving presently recommended dosage regimens. Based on the susceptibility results, the activity of ciprofloxacin as reflected by MICs is less
than reported previously, a MIC50 of 0.5 µg/ml versus 1 µg/ml (1). This decline in sensitivity may be a result
of extensive use of antibiotics, in particular, ciprofloxacin within
the CF population. Since ciprofloxacin is the only oral antipseudomonal agent presently available, it is prescribed frequently in the outpatient management of mild to moderate pulmonary exacerbations in CF
patients. However, a simple comparison of MICs is an insufficient means
of predicting in vivo pharmacodynamic activity because it does not
account for variability in the pharmacokinetics of the drug.
An accurate and precise pharmacokinetic model in combination with
specific pharmacodynamic goals in CF patients would enable dosage
individualization to maximize clinical and microbiological outcomes
while minimizing the risk of toxicity. Forrest et al. demonstrated that
optimal clinical and bacteriological responses in non-CF patients with
lower respiratory tract infections are associated with the ability to
achieve an AUC0-24/MIC ratio of at least 125 (6). In the present study, the Monte Carlo analysis was
performed with presently recommended ciprofloxacin dosages of 400 mg
every q12h and 400 mg q8h and yielded suboptimal AUC0-24/MIC ratios. Only 10 and 30% of simulated patients achieved an AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125 or greater against P. aeruginosa isolates at 400 mg q12h and 400 mg q8h,
respectively. These results reflect the relatively high ciprofloxacin
MICs for P. aeruginosa isolates in patients with CF. Even
with a dose of 600 mg q8h, only 55% of patients would reach the goal
AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125. Thus, ciprofloxacin monotherapy
should not be given empirically for the treatment of acute pulmonary
exacerbations in patients with CF. If the ciprofloxacin MIC for an
isolate is known to be
0.5 µg/ml then a dosage regimen of 600 mg
q8h would achieve the targeted AUC0-24/MIC ratio in 95%
of patients; however, clinical experience with doses exceeding 1,200 mg
per day is currently limited. In contrast, only 15 and 60% of patients would achieve the targeted AUC0-24/MIC ratio when given ciprofloxacin doses of 400 mg q12h and 400 mg q8h, respectively.
Our study has two limitations. First, the target
AUC0-24/MIC ratio of 125 used for our pharmacodynamic
analysis was obtained in non-CF patients with lower respiratory tract
infections (6). It is uncertain if this target
AUC0-24/MIC ratio is also optimal in the CF
population. Considering that eradication is rarely achieved in patients
with CF due to the presence of bacterial biofilms, viscous airway
secretions, divalent cations, and other inhibitors of antibacterial
activity, the target AUC0-24/MIC value is likely to be
greater than 125. Nonetheless, our conclusions regarding the inadequacy
of standard dosage regimens of ciprofloxacin and the need for
combination therapy in the treatment of P. aeruginosa infections in patients with CF remain valid. A second limitation is the
need to prospectively validate the predictive performance of the
pharmacokinetic model developed using an independent CF population.
In conclusion, the pharmacokinetics of ciprofloxacin in adult CF
patients are well described using a two-compartment model. Based on our
simulation studies, recommended doses of 400 mg every 8 to 12 h
are often inadequate to treat an acute pulmonary exacerbation in
patients with CF when given alone. Despite a decline in susceptibility, ciprofloxacin remains an important agent against P. aeruginosa due to its proven safety profile and excellent oral
bioavailability. Antibiotic combinations which are likely to provide
additive or synergistic activity (beta-lactams in combination with
ciprofloxacin) are necessary to optimally treat this patient
population. In addition, the inadequate and variable
AUC0-24/MIC ratios support an individualized approach to
dosage regimen design according to each patient's weight, renal
function, and organism susceptibility. The use of TDM may well be
necessary in order to monitor and optimize dosage to ensure optimal therapy.
 |
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
This study was supported in part by an unrestricted grant from
the Bayer Corporation.
We acknowledge the assistance of the 6th-floor nursing staff at USC
University Hospital.
 |
FOOTNOTES |
*
Corresponding author. Mailing address: School of
Pharmacy, USC, 1985 Zonal Ave., Los Angeles, CA 90089-9121. Phone:
(323) 442-1402. Fax: (626) 628-3024. E-mail:
beringer{at}usc.edu.
 |
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Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, December 2001, p. 3468-3473, Vol. 45, No. 12
0066-4804/01/$04.00+0 DOI: 10.1128/AAC.45.12.3468-3473.2001
Copyright © 2001, American Society for Microbiology. All rights reserved.
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